The East African Food Crisis: Did Regional Early Warning Systems Function?

Currency crisis early warning systems: Why they should be dynamic

Traditionally, financial crisis EarlyWarning Systems (EWSs) have relied onmacroeconomic leading indicatorswhen forecasting the occurrence of such events. This paper extends such discrete-choice EWSs by taking the persistence of the crisis phenomenon into account. The dynamic logit EWS is estimated using an exact maximum likelihood estimation method in both a country-by-country and a panel frame...

An early warning on early warning systems!

WG Early Warning Systems

Early Warning Systems aim at detecting unclassified but potentially harmful system behavior based on preliminary indications and are complementary to Intrusion Detection Systems. Both kinds of systems try to detect, identify and react before possible damage occurs and contribute to an integrated and aggregated situation report (big picture). A particular emphasis of Early Warning Systems is to ...

Markets , Food Security and Early Warning Reporting

1. INTRODUCTION Markets are critical to understanding food security and to performing better early warning analysis. People around the world interact in markets on many different levels: a woman goes to the local market to purchase maize needed to feed her family for a week, a farmer purchases fertilizer to ensure his/her crops grow to full potential, some family members are employed as daily w...

Famine Early Warning Systems Network

slowly evolving natural hazards such as agricultural drought. Famine early warning systems transform these data into actionable policy information, enabling humanitarian organizations to respond in a timely and appropriate manner. These life-saving responses are increasingly important: In 2006, one out of eight people did not have enough food to eat and 22 million more people became sufficientl...